Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2814SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 2814 · DFW → TPA
departs 7:10 AM CT · arrives 10:41 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
34%chance · ±4 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.