tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 2834 · TPA → ORD

departs 2:20 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
27% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.7d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.