AA 2948 · MIA → CHS

departs 10:16 PM ET · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.70 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2948 · MIA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?