Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2950 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2950 · DFW → PNS

departs 2:52 PM CT · arrives 4:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±10 pts +22 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 1.4 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ 2pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

PNS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2950 · DFW → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?