AA 2962 · CLT → DSM

took off 10:48 AM ET · landed 11:49 AM CT (scheduled 10:42 AM ET → 12:12 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DSM?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DSM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

DSM (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2962 · CLT → DSM

Odds over time

How late did it get to DSM?