Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3033 LANDED 8:59 AM AT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 3033 · MIA → SJU

took off 6:54 AM ET · landed 8:59 AM AT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3033 · MIA → SJU

Odds over time