tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3056 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 3056 · MIA → ORD

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    13%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.