Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3115 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 3115 · CLT → OMA

departs 2:45 PM ET · arrives 4:18 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.54 in

OMA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3115 · CLT → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?