Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3125 LANDED 2:29 AM ET, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

AA 3125 · ALB → CLT

took off 12:47 AM ET · landed 2:29 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 21h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ ALB is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB

Weather at each end

ALB (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3125 · ALB → CLT

Odds over time