AA 3215 · PNS → CLT

took off 9:05 AM CT · landed 11:19 AM ET (scheduled 8:16 AM CT → 11:03 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at PNS that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from PNS are usually not late

Weather at each end

PNS (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.66 in

CLT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3215 · PNS → CLT

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLT?