Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3228 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:16 AM ET, ETA 7:19 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 3228 · SAV → MIA

took off 6:16 AM ET · expected to land 7:19 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ SAV is prone to delays

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SAV are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAV (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.62 in

MIA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3228 · SAV → MIA

Odds over time