AA 323 · MIA → BNA

departs 4:22 PM ET · arrives 5:52 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 323 · MIA → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?