Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3268SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3268 · PHL → MCO
departs 7:35 PM ET · arrives 10:43 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±4 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.