tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 542 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 542 · DFW → RDU

departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 11:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±6 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    23%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    11%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.