Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 842 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 842 · BGR → CLT

departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 7:08 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±6 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BGR

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 842 · BGR → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?