Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 880 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 880 · MIA → ORF

departs 4:51 PM ET · arrives 7:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at ORF that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from MIA are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 880 · MIA → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?