AA 916 · BOG → MIA

departs 2:26 PM -05 · arrives 7:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOG

↓ Other factors

↓ 2pm departures from BOG are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOG (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 916 · BOG → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?