AA 955 · DCA → BOS

departs 2:53 PM ET · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.45 in

BOS (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 955 · DCA → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?