Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1029SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1029 · KOA → LIH
departs 8:00 AM HT · arrives 8:55 AM HT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LIH more than 15 minutes late?
7%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LIH?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.