tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1040 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1040 · LIH → OGG

departs 9:27 AM HT · arrives 10:16 AM HT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 70h before departure
Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?
17% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.7d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to OGG?

  1. On time or early
    82%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.