Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1115SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1115 · OGG → HNL
departs 11:57 AM HT · arrives 12:40 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.