Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1115SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1115 · OGG → HNL
departs 11:57 AM HT · arrives 12:40 PM HT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.