AS 1138 · HNL → KOA

took off 3:25 PM HT · landed 3:51 PM HT (scheduled 3:14 PM HT → 4:01 PM HT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to KOA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into KOA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

KOA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1138 · HNL → KOA

Odds over time

How late did it get to KOA?