tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1147 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AS 1147 · KOA → HNL

departs 5:45 PM HT · arrives 6:32 PM HT
Forecast issued Thu 6:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 5.1d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HNL?

  1. On time or early
    76%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.