Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1312SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1312 · PDX → SAN
departs 2:55 PM PT · arrives 5:29 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±4 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.