Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1527SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1527 · ANC → OTZ
departs 9:02 AM AKT · arrives 10:37 AM AKDT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±1 pts+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to OTZ?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.