Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1632SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 1632 · PDX → SJC
departs 11:45 AM PT · arrives 1:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.