Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 215SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 215 · AUS → SEA
departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 10:58 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
35%chance · ±0 pts+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.