AS 225 · PDX → MCI

took off 11:55 AM PT · landed 4:44 PM CT (scheduled 12:03 PM PT → 5:23 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCI?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 225 · PDX → MCI

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCI?