Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 251SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 251 · GEG → PDX
departs 12:42 PM PT · arrives 1:52 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
11%chance · ±1 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.