Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 271 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Today

AS 271 · PDX → ANC

departs 5:50 PM PT · arrives 8:38 PM AKT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ANC

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling5,533 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 271 · PDX → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?