Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 430SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
AS 430 · PDX → SEA
departs 5:30 PM PT · arrives 6:33 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
24%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.