tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AS 512 · SAN → SEA

departs 7:18 AM PT · arrives 10:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 4.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    18%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.