Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AS 512 · SAN → SEA

departs 7:18 AM PT · arrives 10:26 AM PT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 5.5d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.