Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 869SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 869 · LGB → HNL
departs 7:00 AM PT · arrives 9:50 AM HT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±0 pts+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.