Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 870SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AS 870 · HNL → LGB
departs 12:25 PM HT · arrives 8:46 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to LGB?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.