B6 1133 · MCO → SJU

departs 12:37 PM ET · arrives 3:37 PM AT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

SJU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1133 · MCO → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?