Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1133
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 1133 · MCO → SJU
departs 5:30 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM AT
Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 36%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 20%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±16 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 4,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.47 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 4,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.