Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1254 · DCA → BOS
departs 2:16 PM ET · arrives 3:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 39%
Thu 10/8 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.14 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 4,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.