Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1694 · MCO → HPN
departs 4:40 PM ET · arrives 7:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 47%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HPN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at HPN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HPN?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
4pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HPN
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.19 in
HPN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.