Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
B6 1728 · MCO → EWR
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 68%
Mon 10/5 43%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 40%
Thu 10/8 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±5 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,080 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.