Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1728
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 1728 · MCO → EWR
departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 7:51 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sun 10/4 63%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 40%
Thu 10/8 52%
Fri 10/9 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±12 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed – in 24h
–
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.44 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.