Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 229
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 229 · BQN → MCO
departs 5:45 PM AT · arrives 8:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 41%
Fri 10/2 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BQN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.