Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 229
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
B6 229 · BQN → MCO
departs 6:17 PM AT · arrives 9:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 32%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave BQN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at BQN that day
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BQN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BQN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.