Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2424
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 2424 · MCO → DCA
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 73%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 26%
Wed 10/7 31%
Thu 10/8 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
This flight has been late 43% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.