Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2493
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 2493 · ACK → DCA
departs 10:52 AM ET · arrives 12:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 22%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave ACK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ACK is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
ACK (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.