Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2725 · JFK → TPA
departs 7:59 PM ET · arrives 11:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/2 56%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±6 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
JFK (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.