Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 444
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 444 · PBI → ISP
departs 10:11 AM ET · arrives 12:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 10/2 30%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PBI that day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
10am departures from PBI are usually not late
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.21 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,667 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.