Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 544
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 544 · PBI → ISP
departs 1:13 PM ET · arrives 4:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 30%
Wed 10/7 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PBI
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from PBI are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ISP
Weather at each end
PBI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
ISP (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.