Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1003
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 1003 · DCA → MCO
departs 7:00 AM ET · arrives 9:22 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 6%
Thu 10/1 8%
Fri 10/2 7%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 7%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
7%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
7%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
3%
6%
9%
12%
4.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
MCO is busy at that time
↑
Other factors
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.